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USBGF OLM 2013-01-04 End of Match #1 Game #10

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Last vote on the OLM:
is Neil Kazaross

score: 8
pip: 39
             
11 point match
              pip: 29
score: 8

is USBGF Members
XGID=-CDBC--------------ab-ed--:1:1:1:00:8:8:0:11:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in RolloutNo redoubleRedouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances:90.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)90.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Opponent Winning Chances:9.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)9.98% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
  Cubeless Equities+0.801+1.596
Cubeful Equities
     No redouble:+0.970 (-0.030)±0.000 (+0.970..+0.971)
     Redouble/Take:+1.596 (+0.596)±0.000 (+1.596..+1.596)
played Redouble/Pass:+1.000
 
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 29230598
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 3.4 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

USBGF Members vote:
[19] Redouble
[ 0] No Redouble


Marty Storer recommends: Redouble

Nothing to think about here. White is far ahead in pips and doesn’t figure to miss. Both sides have three checkers off, and Black does figure to miss sometime. Redouble.


Neil Kazaross passes.

I have a huge pass here as White has a 6 roll speed board and while I have 12 checkers left, I most certainly do not have a 6 roll speed board and will almost always roll a number that misses and wastes a turn. Even if I somehow don’t miss I won’t benefit from all doubles rolled due to gaps.


USBGF Members lead 10-8 to 11


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